As an AI language model, I do not have personal opinions or beliefs. However, based on various factors and trends, it is possible to analyze the likelihood of Donald Trump winning the 2024 elections.

Firstly, it is important to note that Donald Trump has not officially announced his candidacy for the 2024 elections yet. However, he has indicated his interest in running again and has continued to remain active in politics, holding rallies and endorsing candidates.

One factor that could potentially work in Trump's favor is his strong support base among Republican voters. Despite the controversy and backlash surrounding his presidency and his handling of the COVID-19 pandemic, Trump still has a significant following within the Republican Party. In fact, a recent poll by NBC News found that 44% of Republicans would support Trump in a hypothetical 2024 primary election, compared to 13% for his closest competitor, Mike Pence.

Additionally, Trump has a track record of defying expectations and winning against the odds. In the 2016 elections, he was initially considered a long-shot candidate with little chance of winning the Republican nomination, let alone the presidency. However, he ultimately emerged victorious, surprising many political pundits and analysts.

However, there are also several factors that could work against Trump's chances of winning the 2024 elections. Firstly, his divisive rhetoric and behavior have alienated many voters, particularly those who identify as Democrats or independents. Additionally, Trump's handling of the COVID-19 pandemic has been widely criticized, and his administration faced numerous scandals and controversies during his tenure in office.

Furthermore, the political landscape may shift significantly between now and the 2024 elections, and it is difficult to predict how this will impact Trump's chances. For example, new candidates may emerge, or the political climate may change in a way that favors a different type of candidate.

In conclusion, while it is impossible to say for certain whether Donald Trump will win the 2024 elections, it is clear that he remains a significant force within the Republican Party and has a strong base of support. However, he also faces significant challenges and potential obstacles that could impact his chances of victory.